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Scenario I
[caption id="attachment_3653" align="aligncenter" width="734" caption="Scenario I - Investigation timeline vs. probability of occurrence of event vs. timeline of event"]
Conclusion of phase 5 of investigation: direct reporting
Conclusion of phase 4 of investigation: reporting predictions
Conclusion of phase 3 of investigation: investigative reporting
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Scenario II
[caption id="attachment_3654" align="aligncenter" width="734" caption="Scenario II - Probability of occurrence of event vs. timeline of event"]
Dotted line: projected probability of event as a result of interferential investigation
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Scenario III
[caption id="attachment_3655" align="aligncenter" width="734" caption="Scenario III - Probability of occurrence of event vs. timeline of event"]
Dotted line A: projected, and increased, probability of event as a result of interferential investigation
Dotted line B: projected, and decreased, probability of event as a result of interferential investigation
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Conference of ethical value—moral value of personal judgment—what if P(ethical val. of B > ethical val. of A) = P(ethical val. of A > ethical val. of B)?—non-interferential investigation takes precedence takes overall precedence when ethical values of A and B are fuzzy—does lesser fuzziness validate interference?
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